How many Express Entries Invitation to apply (ITA’s) Can be seen in December 2024.
Analyzing previous Express Entry draws patterns helps predict how many Invitations to Apply (ITA) Canada might issue for the rest of 2024. Based on trends from 2021-2023, IRCC could issue approximately 3,522 ITAs in December
Assuming consistent proportions relative to 2025’s landing target of 124,680.
However, this estimate hinges on key assumptions, including the lag between ITA and permanent resident landings due to processing times (6–16 months). For instance, most ITAs issued between July 2024 and February 2025 will count towards 2025 targets. Historically, IRCC has issued ITAs amounting to about 43–46% of the following year’s landing targets between July and December.
From July-November 2024, 52,888 ITAs were issued, covering 42.42% of 2025’s target.
By extrapolating past averages, December’s ITAs could account for another 2.825%, equaling 3,522 ITA approx.
Likely Recipients:
Remaining ITA of 2025 may prioritize:
Category-based selections: Healthcare,
trades
French-proficient candidates.
In-Canada candidates: CEC
PNP streams dominate.
Francophone immigrants: Aligned with rising admission targets.
While past trends guide these predictions, IRCC’s discretionary changes could lead to significantly different outcomes.